Ecology and Vulnerability
Bog Elfin

Image
Bog elfin resting on sand.

Photo credit:  Denis Doucet

Scientific name
Callophrys lanoraieensis

Profile: Bog Elfin

Insects, including lepidoptera, play an integral role in ecosystems as pollinators and food sources, and studying their interactions and indirect effects of climate change on them is critical (Harvey...

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Insects, including lepidoptera, play an integral role in ecosystems as pollinators and food sources, and studying their interactions and indirect effects of climate change on them is critical (Harvey et al., 2022). Lepidoptera are extremely sensitive to changes in their environment and are being threatened by herbicides, insecticides, habitat loss, pollution, and direct and indirect effects of climate change (Wagner 2021). As ectotherms, climate change can be a major physiological stressor that can cause changes to misalignment with Lepidoptera host plant and emergence, shifts in range, behavior, development and more (Hellmann et al., 2016, Patterson et al., 2019). Species with longer developmental overwintering stages, narrower diets, or restricted ranges may be more at risk of decline or extinction due to changing temperatures and precipitation compared to generalist species (Patterson et al., 2019). Temperature increases have led to many species emerging earlier than host plants, with spring species advancing faster than summer species. Phenological mismatch can reduce survival due to emerging before their host plant or after the host plant senesces (Patterson et al., 2019). Early emergence of adult butterflies could mean limited nectar resource availability, and exposure to late snowstorms and freezing temperatures (Patterson et al., 2019). Asynchrony in some lepidoptera larvae has shown increased rates of parasitism and predation (including cannibalism) due to mismatched timing of host plant emergence and the butterfly’s life cycle (Despland 2018). Research on the effects of climate change on Lepidoptera species is still largely understudied and little is known about the response of many of the RCGN species listed above. More research is needed at both the fine scale and large scale, temporally and spatially.
 

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment: Bog Elfin (Northern Appalachians)

Ranking
Presumed Stable
Confidence
Assessments of vulnerability were ranked with High, Medium, or Low certainty.
Location
Northern Appalachians
Time period
2050

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment: Bog Elfin (Massachusetts)

Ranking
Most Vulnerable
Confidence
The experts assessing traits also scored their level of uncertainty
Climate scenario
The study used climate data from two models: the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC5).
Location
Massachusetts
Time period
2070

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment: Bog Elfin (Ontario)

Ranking
Most Vulnerable
Climate scenario
"The study used three General Circulation Models (GCMs) - CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES, and MIROC5."
Location
Ontario, Canada
Time period
2041–2071

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment: Bog Elfin (North Atlantic Coast)

Ranking
Vulnerable
Confidence
Not Specified
Climate scenario
Not Specified
Location
North Atlantic Coast
Time period
Not Specified